By Braught / 35th & Jackson
Every spring I receive the text message that says “hope springs eternal” regarding the Mariners and their season. This year, I really couldn’t see it. I thought this team was destined for mediocrity. If I recall correctly, I predicted 82 wins, mostly because I didn’t want to think about them being .500 or below.
Then the Mariner’s went on a tear and won every close game. They played loose, fast, and fun. Even with all the data about run differential, one run games, and it all being unsustainable, you thought just maybe, maybe they could pull it off. And with all the past trauma, you knew it couldn’t last, but you finally refused to believe that. SoDo MoJo was occurring. It was a great day to be a Mariner fan.
Well, it all came crashing down. The A’s somehow became good and refused to lose a series. The Mariners bats went cold, the pitchers had the injury bug, and it appeared that nothing could snap them out of it.
With multiple games against two of the worst teams in baseball, the Padres and Orioles, coming up, it was time for the Mariners to put up or shut up. Instead the Mariners dropped the first two games to Padres and played one of the ugliest games I have seen this season against the Orioles last night. They are 1 and 3 in those four games so far, with three more to go. The Mariners also have 11 games vs the sub .500 Rangers and Angels to go this season.
So where does that leave the Mariners chances at the playoff? Baseball Prospectus and fiveeightythree each put it at about a 3% chance, and fangraphs puts it at 5%. It’s not looking good for this year. But somehow, there still is hope. The M’s will need to win at least eight of those 11 games I mentioned, to have a chance in my opinion.
I will return next week with another Wild Care Wednesday and hope that the M’s have improved those odds. Back to the game for me.